Wednesday, May 23, 2007

A Little NBA Lottery Math

The future of the NBA might have been formed on Tuesday night when the draft rights to super-center Greg Oden and super-swingman Kevin Durant were assigned to the Portland Trailblazers and Seattle Supersonics. (Their pairing is irrelevant for the purpose of this analysis.)

I was struck by a little Varsity Dad math, which I run into all the time when thinking about kids' development as sports fans:

If my kid is 1 and the age where a sports fan has a recognizable "fan consciousness" is between 10-12, then both Oden and Durant will be in their 9th NBA seasons – at a minimum – before Gabe will really "know" them.

Translation: At best, Gabe will know them as long-established NBA superstars. The concept of them as "phenoms" over the next few seasons will be totally foreign to him. Somehow, I think the next 10 years will fly by.

-- D.S.

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